Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -1 (98-99). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 42 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 37 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Sean Singletary * | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 44 | 9-19 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 38 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 26 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 25 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter