Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (81-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 38 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| George Hill * | 28 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 43 | 10-21 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
* = starter