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2008-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% - โœ—
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 โœ— (33.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -26 (80-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Randy Foye * 37 9-12 3-4 2-2 1 14 2 1 2 23 27 -
Ryan Gomes * 35 9-11 1-1 1-1 7 3 0 0 0 20 19 -
Al Jefferson * 32 9-20 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 1 2 19 7 -
Craig Smith * 25 6-13 0-0 4-7 9 1 0 1 2 16 12 -
Mike Miller * 24 4-7 0-1 1-1 8 7 0 0 3 9 14 -
Sebastian Telfair * 24 2-7 2-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 6 3 -
Corey Brewer * 20 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
Kevin Love * 17 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
Jason Collins * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
Mark Madsen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rodney Carney 2 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Brian Cardinal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rasheed Wallace * 34 3-10 1-4 0-0 10 2 0 2 1 7 10 -
Tayshaun Prince * 34 8-13 2-3 2-3 4 2 2 1 1 20 15 -
Richard Hamilton * 32 2-11 0-2 3-3 1 6 0 0 1 7 2 -
Allen Iverson * 29 3-11 0-2 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 9 2 -
Jason Maxiell * 22 5-10 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 0 0 12 10 -
Amir Johnson * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Rodney Stuckey * 18 0-5 0-0 4-6 1 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
Arron Afflalo * 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Kwame Brown * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
Will Bynum * 12 3-7 0-0 1-2 1 6 2 0 1 7 8 -
Walter Herrmann 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Alex Acker 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter