Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Roy * | 41 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 27 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 14 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Greg Oden * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 30 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Sean Singletary * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter