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2008-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks +5 (122-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antawn Jamison * 42 9-13 2-2 9-10 13 0 2 0 3 29 28 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 37 4-14 2-10 0-0 3 8 0 0 1 10 6 -
Caron Butler * 31 8-18 1-3 6-7 4 3 3 0 4 23 11 -
Darius Songaila * 25 5-12 0-0 3-3 4 1 2 0 0 13 8 -
Dee Brown * 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 2 4 -
Dominic McGuire * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 0 4 13 -
Etan Thomas * 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
JaVale McGee * 8 4-8 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Nick Young 19 6-10 1-2 4-5 4 2 0 0 0 17 13 -
Juan Dixon 12 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Andray Blatche 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 5 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Duhon * 45 3-9 2-6 2-2 5 11 0 0 4 10 13 -
Wilson Chandler * 44 7-16 3-5 6-8 6 2 1 1 1 23 16 -
Quentin Richardson * 43 11-20 7-13 5-6 12 2 0 0 1 34 27 -
Nate Robinson * 41 10-14 4-7 3-3 6 6 1 0 4 27 22 -
David Lee * 40 9-16 0-0 4-5 12 2 1 0 4 22 17 -
Anthony Roberson * 14 2-10 0-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 4 -2 -
Malik Rose * 9 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -

* = starter