Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +14 (104-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 5-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| JR Smith * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 22 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Renaldo Balkman | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chucky Atkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 29 | 12-18 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 17 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Josh Powell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Luke Walton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter