Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (91-76). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 41 | 8-23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 5-19 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Javaris Crittenton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marko Jaric | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 23 | - |
| James Singleton * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Devean George * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter