Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | +6.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -10 (86-96). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 13-21 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| James Singleton * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 43 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-8 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 41 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 21 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter