Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.6% | 28.4% | -5.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +5 (111-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Roy * | 39 | 7-14 | 3-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Greg Oden * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 41 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 35 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter