Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +13 (104-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 33 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Roy Hibbert | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 40 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 39 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 31 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cedric Simmons | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter