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2008-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (105-93). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carlos Boozer * 36 5-12 0-0 7-8 9 4 0 0 2 17 16 -
Ronnie Brewer * 32 3-7 0-1 1-3 0 2 2 0 1 7 3 -
Paul Millsap * 28 6-11 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 0 4 15 8 -
Kosta Koufos * 27 2-7 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 2 2 5 5 -
Kyle Korver * 24 3-8 3-4 0-1 3 0 1 1 1 9 5 -
Ronnie Price * 24 4-8 4-5 0-0 2 3 1 1 3 12 8 -
Brevin Knight * 23 3-5 0-0 3-3 2 6 0 0 1 9 11 -
Morris Almond * 21 2-5 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 1 2 7 6 -
CJ Miles * 18 5-9 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
Jarron Collins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 42 13-21 3-7 9-11 5 7 2 2 2 38 31 -
Delonte West * 41 4-11 3-8 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 12 8 -
Mo Williams * 39 8-18 3-8 1-1 3 4 0 1 1 20 9 -
Ben Wallace * 35 0-1 0-0 1-2 10 2 4 2 1 1 17 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 27 6-11 0-1 4-4 7 3 1 0 4 16 12 -
Anderson Varejao * 25 1-3 0-0 3-3 5 0 1 1 0 5 9 -
Daniel Gibson * 15 2-6 1-3 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
Wally Szczerbiak * 6 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 1 -
JJ Hickson * 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Sasha Pavlovic 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter