Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | +0.5 | ✗ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (77-75). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 41 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 40 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Luther Head * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| George Hill * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 15 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter