Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -12 (82-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 39 | 11-18 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 26 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 25 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 24 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter