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2008-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.3 โœ— (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—

Actual: LA Clippers -5 (98-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brad Miller * 40 7-10 1-1 1-2 11 8 1 1 0 16 27 -
John Salmons * 39 5-19 3-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 13 0 -
Beno Udrih * 38 13-20 0-3 4-4 5 7 2 0 1 30 23 -
Jason Thompson * 33 6-10 0-0 4-6 11 0 0 0 1 16 16 -
Spencer Hawes * 27 3-6 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 4 2 7 10 -
Mikki Moore * 23 2-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
Bobby Jackson * 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
Bobby Brown * 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Donte Greene * 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
Shelden Williams 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Baron Davis * 37 4-15 0-4 4-5 2 11 0 0 2 12 8 -
Al Thornton * 33 6-16 2-2 6-7 3 0 0 3 3 20 7 -
Marcus Camby * 30 4-8 0-0 5-6 4 2 1 4 1 13 15 -
Cuttino Mobley * 30 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 10 9 -
Chris Kaman * 27 3-6 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 4 8 5 -
Ricky Davis * 22 6-9 4-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 16 12 -
Tim Thomas * 21 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 12 9 -
Eric Gordon * 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 5 -
Paul Davis * 12 2-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
Mike Taylor * 10 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter