Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +8 (107-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 13-27 | 2-3 | 9-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 19 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Robert Swift * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Ford * | 39 | 10-19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 30 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Maceo Baston * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Roy Hibbert | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter