Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -16 (83-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 14-25 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 27 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 17 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 37 | 6-17 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Desmon Farmer * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter