Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (93-100). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 38 | 10-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 29 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 36 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 12 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alex Acker * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 44 | 11-24 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 21 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter