Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -17 (81-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 13-21 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 13-24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Antoine Wright | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Singleton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Green | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| George Hill * | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Desmon Farmer * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter