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2008-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +3 (88-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Miller * 35 4-8 0-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 10 5 -
Al Jefferson * 33 11-17 0-0 2-2 13 0 0 1 3 24 18 -
Randy Foye * 29 0-10 0-3 2-2 3 6 0 0 5 2 -4 -
Ryan Gomes * 28 5-10 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 12 9 -
Corey Brewer * 27 2-5 1-1 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 7 11 -
Craig Smith * 20 5-10 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 1 1 13 7 -
Rashad McCants * 19 1-6 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 1 4 1 -
Kevin Ollie * 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Kevin Love * 17 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 1 0 4 9 -
Rodney Carney * 9 3-6 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 7 2 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 37 7-21 0-0 4-5 5 0 0 1 1 18 2 -
Jeff Green * 36 6-14 1-1 0-2 6 3 0 1 2 13 7 -
Nick Collison * 31 4-8 0-0 2-2 10 2 3 2 1 10 18 -
Earl Watson * 26 2-8 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 1 3 4 3 -
Chris Wilcox * 25 4-9 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 0 1 12 10 -
Russell Westbrook * 25 6-13 0-1 2-3 1 2 2 0 3 14 3 -
Desmond Mason * 23 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 2 7 6 -
Johan Petro * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
Joe Smith * 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 6 11 -
Damien Wilkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter