Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +18 (121-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 43 | 11-20 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | - |
| John Salmons * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Douby * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 35 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 38 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter