Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -10 (102-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ming Yao * | 40 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 30 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 10-22 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 19 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Carl Landry | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 10-22 | 2-4 | 14-14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter