Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (113-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 18 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Acie Law | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Richardson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daequan Cook * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 23 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kasib Powell * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 21 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter