Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (99-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 13-25 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 10-18 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 28 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Devean George * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Malik Allen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Watson * | 41 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 40 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter