Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (111-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 30 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Luther Head * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 27 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mike Harris * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 16 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Loren Woods | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Iverson * | 42 | 13-20 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 28 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 25 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| JR Smith * | 24 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bobby Jones | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter