Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (91-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakim Warrick * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Juan Carlos Navarro * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 25 | 5-18 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Andre Brown * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 40 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kasib Powell * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 28 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 22 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 18 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Blake Ahearn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter