Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (99-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Francisco Elson | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Adrian Griffin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ronald Dupree | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 25 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Devean George * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter