Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (95-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 37 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 26 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 39 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Kasib Powell * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter