Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (98-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 43 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 11-23 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 24 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Devean George * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 35 | 12-26 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 11 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 4-17 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter