Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -16 (75-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 19 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cheikh Samb | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 41 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 31 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter