Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 11-16 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 41 | 8-17 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 41 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Blake Ahearn | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Stephane Lasme | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 43 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 39 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 33 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 25 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 20 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nick Young * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Oleksiy Pecherov * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter