Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✗ (25.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +25 (111-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 36 | 12-19 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 32 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 19 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 10 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kosta Perovic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 11-21 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 37 | 14-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 26 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Devean George * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 19 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Wright | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter