Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✗ (35.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -29 (77-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 35 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| David West * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 33 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Mike James | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daequan Cook * | 44 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 40 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 24 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 13 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter