Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +20 (105-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kasib Powell * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 29 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Blake Ahearn | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 35 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 32 | 7-17 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ike Diogu | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shawne Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter