Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +26 (88-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 45 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Kasib Powell * | 39 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 38 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 19 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Powe * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 24 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| James Posey * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter