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2008-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 โœ“ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“

Actual: LA Clippers +13 (110-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 39 9-18 0-3 5-7 6 1 1 0 4 23 9 -
Hakim Warrick * 35 7-11 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 14 9 -
Mike Conley * 31 6-12 1-3 4-4 1 5 0 0 4 17 7 -
Mike Miller * 30 3-10 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 6 1 -
Darko Milicic * 27 3-11 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 1 7 7 -
Javaris Crittenton * 25 3-5 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 0 3 9 7 -
Kyle Lowry * 22 7-9 0-0 6-9 2 3 0 0 1 20 15 -
Jason Collins * 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 2 -
Juan Carlos Navarro * 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
Casey Jacobsen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brian Cardinal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Thornton * 44 13-23 3-6 10-12 3 2 5 0 3 39 23 -
Cuttino Mobley * 41 6-11 0-3 1-2 4 3 0 0 7 13 2 -
Corey Maggette * 40 8-17 0-5 10-12 7 4 3 0 3 26 20 -
Brevin Knight * 35 6-8 0-0 2-2 2 11 1 1 1 14 20 -
Chris Kaman * 27 5-7 0-0 0-0 15 3 0 4 1 10 24 -
Josh Powell * 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 0 4 13 -
Smush Parker * 18 1-8 0-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Dan Dickau * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Fazekas 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Marcus Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter