Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kasib Powell * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter