Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 45 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 40 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 40 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 38 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 26 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Ruffin | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 37 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Kasib Powell * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blake Ahearn | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter