Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -17 (86-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 9-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 29 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 1-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Oleksiy Pecherov * | 9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Jones * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Blake Ahearn | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter