Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (40.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +42 (96-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Quinn * | 48 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Jones * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 3-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 25 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 12 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Maceo Baston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter