Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 37 | 5-15 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 28 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 27 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 20 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Bobby Jones * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 42 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 11-12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 24 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter