Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (94-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-16 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 39 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 33 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 46 | 14-26 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Jones * | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter