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2008-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% +2.6 โœ“ (22.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.5 โœ“ (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +25 (118-93). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Carroll * 39 5-8 3-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
Jason Richardson * 36 4-16 2-8 1-2 4 3 2 1 4 11 1 -
Raymond Felton * 33 8-14 2-4 3-4 0 6 3 0 4 21 12 -
Jared Dudley * 30 4-7 0-1 1-1 4 4 1 1 0 9 12 -
Emeka Okafor * 27 3-4 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 1 2 8 15 -
Nazr Mohammed * 25 5-9 0-0 2-5 4 1 2 1 0 12 11 -
Gerald Wallace * 22 5-12 1-1 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 14 8 -
Earl Boykins * 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Jermareo Davidson 3 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Ryan Hollins 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Howard * 34 9-15 2-2 4-5 7 6 0 0 2 24 20 -
Jason Kidd * 33 2-7 2-5 0-0 6 8 1 0 0 6 14 -
Erick Dampier * 29 4-6 0-0 3-4 8 2 1 5 2 11 19 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 28 8-14 2-4 8-8 9 3 3 0 3 26 24 -
Jason Terry * 23 3-10 0-5 4-5 3 3 2 0 0 10 8 -
Brandon Bass * 20 7-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 16 15 -
Jerry Stackhouse * 19 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 10 8 -
Antoine Wright * 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 5 7 -
Malik Allen * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 3 -
Tyronn Lue * 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Juwan Howard 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jamaal Magloire 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter