Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 43 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 41 | 11-16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 11-20 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 45 | 15-27 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 39 | 27 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 31 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 13 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter