Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✗ (35.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -35 (99-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickael Pietrus * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 30 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 19 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 11 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Patrick O'Bryant | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 47 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 42 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 40 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 34 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter