Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (98-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 41 | 13-23 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 41 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 35 | 10-21 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 18 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Luther Head * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Steve Novak | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 8-19 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Devean George * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Antoine Wright | 4 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter