Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✗ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -25 (83-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 26 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 21 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Joey Graham | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maceo Baston | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 12 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter