Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Devean George * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malik Allen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 45 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 41 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 38 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jason Hart | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter