Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +18 (106-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 39 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 28 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 40 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 24 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 23 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 21 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter