Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +21 (107-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| John Salmons * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quincy Douby | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shelden Williams | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter