Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (89-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 36 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 34 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Richardson * | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mario West | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 36 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 17 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter